A credit scoring model is a tool by which financial organizations determine the creditworthiness of individuals or small businesses. Credit scoring is a standardized risk management process used to make credit decisions across loans, mortgages, credit cards, student loans, and other lending opportunities.
A credit score prediction model assigns a numerical value to a potential borrower’s risk, ranked from high to low. Higher scores indicate less risk, making it more likely that the lender will offer more favorable terms, higher loan amounts, and better interest rates.
(Note the difference between credit scoring and credit ratings. Credit ratings apply to corporate organizations, government entities, and asset-backed securities. Credit scoring is reserved for individuals and smaller, owner-operated businesses.)
Types of Credit Scoring Models
FICO and VantageScore are the two most popular credit scoring models.
FICO (Fair Isaac Corporation) is used by the majority of financial institutions while VantageScore was developed by three of the top credit reporting agencies (Equifax, Experian, and TransUnion).
Both models rank a person’s credit-worthiness on a numerical scale between 300 to 850, with higher scores indicating better credit-worthiness. In general, scores under 600 are considered “poor” and scores at 740 and above are considered “good.”
Note that there are multiple versions of FICO scores that may be sent to lenders, depending on the company initiating the request. A person’s FICO score for a bank may be slightly different than a FICO score for a car dealership, for example.
Additionally, the factors that determine these scores vary based on whether a person or small business entity is being assessed.
Personal Credit Risk Model
A personal FICO score is determined by assessing five pieces of data in your credit report:
- Payment history (35%)
- Amounts owed (30%)
- Length of credit history (15%)
- New credit (10%)
- Credit mix (10%)
Small Business Credit Risk Model
An owner-operated small business’s credit score is based on different criteria and is scored differently. A credit score prediction model for small businesses ranges from zero to 300 based on these criteria:
- Company information (number of employees, sales, ownership, subsidiaries, etc.)
- Historical business data
- Business registration information
- Government activity summary
- Business operational data
- Industry classification and data
- Public filings (liens, judgments, and Uniform Commercial Code [UCC] filings)
- Past payment history and collections
- Number of accounts reporting and details
The Value of Credit Scoring for Risk Managers
A credit scoring model helps lending organizations minimize risk by using hard data to determine the likelihood that a person or business will repay their debts. Given how much value can be at stake in mortgage or business loan, effective credit risk predictive modeling is a top priority for lenders.
Broadly, credit scores are a measure of financial stability and reliability. Lenders need historical data to enter into their models to determine how to structure loan criteria. As such, both individuals and businesses should prioritize establishing records of on-time payments and commitment to past financial obligations.
Risk managers at lending institutions will also assess criteria including the length of open credit accounts, credit utilization rates, and new credit accounts as part of the FICO score. It’s crucial for all individuals and business entities to understand how these factors affect their credit rating and what steps they can take to support a strong credit score over time.